In the context of intensifying climatic risks, the development of accessible and effective early warning systems is a major global challenge. The Early Warning for All (EW4ALL) initiative aims to ensure that every individual, wherever they are, has access to reliable and actionable information and protect themselves from hazards.

Predict4ALL is part of this effort; it is a climate risk management solution based on an impact-based approach : the goal is to assess the potential consequences of a phenomenon on people, property, and activities, in order to facilitate decision-making and the implementation of appropriate actions. This solution relies in particular on an interoperable platform enabling multi-level collaboration – local, regional, national, and beyond.

An approach structured around four pillars

Risk knowledge – Hazard analysis takes local specificities into account : vulnerabilities, territorial organization, and exposure. It relies in particular on modeling and mapping approaches such as the COSPARIN projet (COntribution du SPatial à l’Analyse du Risque Inondation), supported by the European Space Agency, which uses satellite data to improve flood risk analysis and provide a contextualized interpretation that combines hazard and exposure.

Response Preparedness – Preparing in advance of events is key. This involves a detailed analysis of risk governance at various levels to develop tailored action plans that translate risk knowledge into concrete operational measures : defining protective actions, organizing resources, and clarifying roles.

Monitoring – Continuous monitoring is carried out by engineers on call 24/7. It relies on cross-analysis of observations, forecasts, and vulnerabilities to continuously assess risk situations and provide managers – whether local or national – with the information needed to undertsand current or future dynamics in their territory.

Dissemination – Graduated operational warnings are transmitted in advance to risk managers according to defined and secure informztion protocols. These messages, prioritized based on expected impacts, aim to  support a gradual and appropriate escalation of the response : safety measures, alerts, evacuations…

A solution shaped by international experience

Predict4ALL has been deployed and refined through several flagship projects. The ANYWHERE project (EnhANcing emergencY management and response to extreme WeathHER and climate Events) laid the groundwork by empowering institutions and citizens to strengthen their ability to anticipate and proactively respond to high-impact extreme weather and climate events. The European GOBEYOND project, meanwhile, brings together a wide range of stakeholders across the Mediterranean region under the EW4ALL initiative.

On the ground, this work has enabled the co-development of early warning systems in several countries :

in Morocco (VIGIRISQUE Project)

in Côte d’Ivoire (PARU Project)

in Rwanda (Space4EW Project)

and in Senegal (PGIIS Project)

These experiences, conducted both internationally and in France, continuously inform the solution and enhance its effectiveness in diverse contexts.

Better anticipation for better protection

With a technology readiness level (TRL) of 8, Predcit4ALL is constantly improving through the sharing and mutual enrichment of expertise. This dynamic of continuous innovation has a clear goal : to offer useful, pragmatic solutions tailored to local contexts, ion support of a shared ambition : Better anticipation for better protection.

The GOBEYOND project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe programme for research and innovation under grant agreement No.101121135